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BTC/ETH Market Outlook and Practical Investment Notes

Macro context, BTC and ETH market conditions, and the practical choices facing private investors adding digital assets to a portfolio.

Market Outlook

Rates, liquidity, inflation, recession risk, and what they mean for digital-asset positioning.

BTC & ETH Market Signals

BTC dominance, ETH relative strength, derivatives positioning, and cross-asset behaviour.

Risk & Timing

Trend structure, drawdown risk, long-term moving averages, valuation bands, and regime shifts.

How to Access BTC/ETH Strategies

BTC & ETH Market Signals

Why BTC Dominance Still Matters for Private Investors

By Lunar Research · April 2026 · 6 min read

How to read the market's conviction signal and what it means for portfolio positioning.

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How to Access BTC/ETH Strategies

ETF, Direct Exposure, or Managed Strategies: Which Fits Best?

By Lunar Research · April 2026 · 7 min read

ETFs, direct exposure, and managed strategies each solve a different investor need. This piece explains which model fits different objectives, governance requirements, and operational realities.

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Latest Market Notes

Market Outlook · By Lunar Research · April 2026 · 3 min read

Macro Regime Checklist for BTC/ETH Investors

Digital assets do not trade in isolation from macro conditions. A practical macro checklist starts with five questions about rates, inflation, liquidity, leadership, and market structure.

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Risk & Timing · By Lunar Research · April 2026 · 3 min read

Reading Long-Term Trend Structure Without Chasing Noise

Long-term trend structure matters more than short-term volatility. This piece explains how to distinguish normal noise from meaningful structural shifts.

How to Access BTC/ETH Strategies · By Lunar Research · April 2026 · 3 min read

Why Separate Strategies Matter for Private Investors

Inside a Cayman SPC, separate sleeves can maintain their own strategy, exposure framework, investor register, fee structure, and NAV accounting. That keeps portfolio design aligned to investor purpose.

Risk & Timing · By Lunar Research · April 2026 · 4 min read

What Private Investors Should Watch During BTC and ETH Drawdowns

Drawdown risk in digital assets is not just about price volatility. It is about how multiple forms of stress arrive together. The most practical lens monitors four layers: market structure risk (liquidity deterioration, derivatives stress, concentration shifts), macro risk (rates, liquidity, risk-on vs risk-off), implementation risk (how the exposure is actually held), and governance risk (how quickly a manager or investor can respond when conditions change). A strategy’s resilience is not just a portfolio question. It is also an operational question.

Framework Library

How to Access BTC/ETH Strategies · By Lunar Research · 3 min read

Why We Focus on BTC and ETH, Not the Long Tail of Crypto

BTC and ETH have the deepest liquidity and most mature infrastructure. A focused approach makes risk easier to define and manage than broad token exposure.

How to Access BTC/ETH Strategies · By Lunar Research · 3 min read

When Active Management Matters More Than Passive Beta

Passive exposure works when the objective is simple participation. Active management matters when investors need hedging, tactical positioning, and drawdown control.

For informational purposes only. Commentary is general market analysis and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation to transact.